- Introduction
- Scope of paper
- "Why care?"
- Main argument: Tuareg insurgency as a way of studying important factors in future conflicts, such as marginalization, environment, resources, smuggling, and “War on Terror”
- Secondary arguments
- A good case for comparing counterinsurgency strategies - usually it's very difficult to compare counterinsurgency efforts (for example Malaya vs. Vietnam) but Mali and Niger face very similar insurgencies and have different outcomes
- Look for evidence of qualitative shift in insurgencies (ala Kilcullen and Van Creveld)
- U.S. is investing lots of resources (Trans Saharan Counter Terrorism Partnership, etc.) - are they being used well?
- Background
- 1960s insurgency (historical narrative)
- 1990s insurgency (historical narrative
- Current violence
- Insurgents
- May 23 2006 D.A.C.
- Ibrahim Bahanga
- MNJ
- FARS
- Counterinsurgents
- Mali
- Niger
- Who's more effective?
- Tracing each variable 1990 - present
- Social and economic marginalization
- Environmental degradation
- Resource extraction
- Al Qaeda/Global War on Terror
- Role of smuggling - crime vs. war
- Analysis
- How the variables interact with each other
- Impact of each variable on decision to turn to violence
- Impact of each variable on decision to negotiate or give up violence
- Conclusions
My thesis outline
Below the cut is my thesis outline, to show how I plan on analyzing the Tuareg insurgency.
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2 comments:
Very cool, look forward to reading a copy if I get one =)
Hopefully I'll be able to publish!
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